Value and exotic punter combed through Europe’s leagues looking for the best value and opportunities for betting just for you. He covers Bundesliga, , , , Ligue 1 and more.
The Rundown
Goalscorers
– Kane (11 in 14 v West Ham) | Averages a goal ever 100 mins v West Ham | Broke his duck | 2.40 AGS good bet
– Victor Osimhen | Starting to live up to price tag | (5 in his last 5 league games | Got the winner last time out & MOM | 2.40 AGS | 5.00 FGS
– Taiwo Awoniyi Nigerian forward Union Berlin v Stuttgart | Former Liverpool | 6 in 8 in the league this season | Price?
– Jonathan David (Lille v Brest) (6 in 10 this season)
– Ciro Immobile (7 in 6 v Hellas Verona)
– Mo Salah?
Value Bets
Leeds v Wolves | Sat 16:00
– Are Wolves the new Brighton?
– Stunning comeback v Villa | Now won 3 on the trot
– Leeds haven’t been great | Weren’t helped by Rafinha missing out but to lose to Southampton…
– Wolves have won the last 5 H2Hs
– Two 1-0 wins last season
– Odds should be fairly even, they’re not.
– Wolves @ 2.90 the bet
– Correct score 1-0 @ 8.00
Roma v Napoli | Sun 18:00
– Napoli are the only team in Europe’s top leagues with 100% record
– After a great start, Roma are starting to slip | 3 losses in their last 5 matches
– Napoli have won 4 of last 5 H2Hs-
– Napoli have scored 12 and conceded 2 on the road
– Roma have 100% home record though, so don’t go too wild
– Napoli slight favourites @ 2.50
Man Utd v Liverpool | Sun 17:30
– Liverpool have score 3+ goals in every away game this season
– United are a disjointed shambles
– Plenty goals in this fixture (11 in 2 matches last season)
– United played Mctominay / Fred last season and still got taken to the cleaners 4-2
– Liverpool to score over 2.5 goals @ 3.20
BTTS & Match Winner 3660/1 | BTTS 42/1
Willem II v Sittard | Fri 20:00
Bayern Munich v Hoffenheim | Sat 15:30
Utrecht v Heerenveen | Sat 18:45
Bologna v AC Milan | Sat 20:45
Lille v Brest | Sat 21:00
RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz | Sun 17:00
Man Utd v Liverpool | Sun 17:30
Best Bets
Bournemouth v Huddersfield | Sat 16:00 | Home win @ 1.71
– Bournemouth 6 points clear at the summit | Still unbeaten, 9/13
– Huddersfield not a bad team. Unbeaten in three with wins against Hull & Blackburn
– Bournemouth have conceded 7 of their 8 goals at home
– Last 3 wins have been 2-1
– Might be value in Bournemouth & BTTS or correct score
Luzern v St Gallen | Sunday 14:15 | BTTS @ 1.55
– Only two teams in Europe with 100% BTTS records. Paksi FC from Hungary & Luzern
– St Gallen matches have averaged 3.9 goals per game so far this season
– Luzern bottom making them the weaker team. I like that they’re at home.
– There are going to be goals. It wouldn’t surprise me if this arrived in the first half.
Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad | Sun 21:00 | Home win @ 1.71
– League leaders take on defending champs
– Sociedad over performing against xGD
– 5/6 wins have been by the single goal
– Unsustainable form
– Atletico have won 7/8 home matches against Sociedad
Treble @ 4.56